Zitsanzo Zapamwamba Zokonzekera | Njira 5 Zosavuta Kuti Muyendetse Zotsatira

Kodi mumamva ngati tsogolo silingadziwike konse?

Monga aliyense amene adawonera Back to the future II angakuuzeni, kuyembekezera zomwe zili pakona si ntchito yophweka. Koma makampani ena oganiza zamtsogolo ali ndi chinyengo - kukonza zochitika.

Mukuyang'ana Zitsanzo Zokonzekera Zochitika? Lero tiyang'ana kuseri kwa makatani kuti tiwone momwe kukonzekera zochitika kumagwirira ntchito matsenga ake, ndikuwunika zitsanzo zokonzekera zochitika kukhala bwino mu nthawi zosayembekezereka.

M'ndandanda wazopezekamo

• Kodi Scenario Planning ndi chiyani?
• Mitundu ya Mapulani a Scenario
• Zochitika Zokonzekera Zitsanzo ndi Njira
  • #1. Ganizirani za Zamtsogolo
  • #2. Unikani Zochitika
  • #3. Sankhani Zizindikiro Zotsogola
  • #4. Konzani Njira Zoyankhira
  • #5. Tsatirani Mapulani
• Zitengera Zapadera
• Mafunso Ofunsidwa Kawirikawiri

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• Maluso oganiza bwino
• Zitsanzo zamapulani

Kodi Scenario Planning ndi chiyani?

Tangoganizani kuti ndinu wotsogolera kanema yemwe mukuyesera kukonza njira yanu yotsatira. Pali zosintha zambiri zomwe zingakhudze momwe zinthu zikuyendera - kodi wotsogolera wanu adzavulala? Nanga bwanji ngati bajeti ya zotsatira zapadera ichepetsedwa? Mukufuna kuti filimuyo ikhale yopambana mosasamala kanthu za zomwe moyo umaponyera pa inu.

Apa ndipamene kukonzekera kumabwera. M'malo mongoganiza kuti zonse zikhala bwino, mumangoganizira mitundu ingapo ya momwe zinthu zingayendere.

Mwina m'modzi nyenyezi yanu imapotoza bondo mu sabata yoyamba kujambula. M'malo ena, zotsatira za bajeti zimadulidwa pakati. Kupeza zithunzi zomveka bwino za zenizeni zina izi kumakuthandizani kukonzekera.

Mumalinganiza momwe mungachitire ndi chochitika chilichonse. Ngati otsogolera atuluka ndi kuvulala, muli ndi ndandanda yojambulira yobwerera mmbuyo ndi makonzedwe a ophunzira okonzeka.

Kukonzekera zochitika zimakupatsirani kudziwiratu komweku komanso kusinthasintha mubizinesi. Posewera mtsogolo momveka bwino, mutha kupanga njira zomwe zimapangitsa kuti mukhale wolimba mtima ngakhale zitakhala bwanji.

Mitundu ya Mapulani a Scenario

Pali njira zingapo zomwe mabungwe angagwiritse ntchito pokonzekera zochitika:

• Zochitika zambiri: Zitsanzo zandalama zomwe zimaloleza kumasulira kwabwino kwambiri komanso koyipa kwambiri posintha chiwerengero chochepa cha zinthu / zinthu. Amagwiritsidwa ntchito pazolosera zapachaka. Mwachitsanzo, zoneneratu za ndalama zomwe zili ndi zabwino kwambiri/zoipitsitsa kutengera +/- 10% kukula kwa malonda kapena kuyerekeza kwa ndalama zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pogwiritsa ntchito mitengo yosinthika ngati zida zokwera/zotsika mtengo.

• Zochitika zokhazikika: Fotokozani zomwe mukufuna kapena zomwe zingatheke, zomwe zimayang'ana kwambiri zolinga kusiyana ndi kukonzekera zolinga. Ikhoza kuphatikizidwa ndi mitundu ina. Mwachitsanzo, zochitika zazaka 5 zopeza utsogoleri wamsika mugulu lazinthu zatsopano kapena zochitika zotsata malamulo zomwe zikuwonetsa njira zokwaniritsira miyezo yatsopano.

• Kasamalidwe ka Strategic: 'Zotsatira zina' izi zimayang'ana kwambiri malo omwe zinthu/ntchito zimadyedwa, zomwe zimafuna kuti anthu aziwona mozama zamakampani, chuma, ndi dziko lapansi. Mwachitsanzo, zochitika zamakampani okhwima zomwe zimasokoneza ukadaulo watsopano womwe ukusintha zosowa zamakasitomala, kutsika kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi komwe kukucheperachepera misika yayikulu kapena vuto lamphamvu lamagetsi lomwe likufuna kupezerapo zinthu zina ndi kusamala.

• Zochitika zogwirira ntchito: Yang'anani momwe chochitikacho chimakhudzira nthawi yomweyo ndikupereka malingaliro akanthawi kochepa. Mwachitsanzo, kutsekedwa kwa chomera kukonzekera kusamutsa / kuchedwa kapena zochitika zatsoka lachilengedwe kukonzekera njira za IT / ops zobwezeretsa.

Ndondomeko Yokonzekera Zochitika ndi Zitsanzo

Kodi mabungwe angapange bwanji mapulani awo? Chiwonetseni m'njira zosavuta izi:

#1. Ganizirani zamtsogolo

Pa sitepe yoyamba yodziŵikitsa nkhani/chigamulo, muyenera kufotokozera momveka bwino funso lapakati kapena zosankha zomwe zingakuthandizeni kudziwa.

Nkhaniyi iyenera kukhala yachindunji mokwanira kuti itsogolere chitukuko cha zochitika koma yotakata mokwanira kulola kuwunika kwamtsogolo kosiyanasiyana.

Zinthu zomwe zimakonda kukhudzidwa ndi monga ziwopsezo za mpikisano, kusintha kwa malamulo, kusintha kwa msika, kusokonekera kwaukadaulo, kupezeka kwa zinthu, moyo wazinthu zomwe mumagulitsa, ndi zina - kambiranani ndi gulu lanu kuti malingalirowo amve zambiri momwe mungathere.

Onani malingaliro opanda malire ndi AhaSlides

AhaSlides'Kukambirana kumathandiza magulu kuti asinthe malingaliro kukhala zochita.

Ganizirani zomwe zili zosatsimikizika komanso zothandiza kwambiri kukonzekera bwino pa nthawi yoyenera. Pezani zolowa kuchokera kuzinthu zosiyanasiyana kuti nkhaniyi ikhale ndi malingaliro osiyanasiyana pagulu.

Khazikitsani magawo monga zotulukapo zoyambirira za chidwi, malire a kusanthula, ndi momwe zochitika zingakhudzire zosankha.

Yang'ananinso ndikuwongolera funso ngati likufunika kutengera kafukufuku woyambirira kuti muwonetsetse kuti zochitika zikupereka chitsogozo chothandiza.

💡 Zitsanzo za nkhani zapadera:

• Njira yopezera ndalama - Ndi misika/zogulitsa ziti zomwe tiyenera kuyang'ana kwambiri kuti tikwaniritse kukula kwa malonda apachaka kwa 15-20% pazaka 5 zikubwerazi?
• Kupirira kwa ma supply chain - Tingachepetse bwanji kusokonekera ndikuwonetsetsa kuti zinthu zikuyenda bwino chifukwa cha mavuto azachuma kapena ngozi zadzidzidzi?
• Kutengera ukadaulo - Kodi kusintha zomwe makasitomala amakonda pazantchito za digito kungakhudze bwanji bizinesi yathu pazaka 10 zikubwerazi?
• Ogwira ntchito amtsogolo - Ndi maluso ndi machitidwe ati omwe tikufunikira kuti tikope ndi kusunga talente yapamwamba pazaka khumi zikubwerazi?
• Zolinga zokhazikika - Ndi zochitika ziti zomwe zingatithandizire kukwaniritsa zotulutsa ziro pofika 2035 ndikusunga phindu?
• Kuphatikizika ndi kugulidwa - Ndi makampani ati owonjezera omwe tiyenera kuganizira zopeza kuti tisinthe ndalama zomwe zimachokera mu 2025?
• Kukula kwa Geographic - Ndi misika iti 2-3 yapadziko lonse lapansi yomwe imapereka mwayi wabwino kwambiri wopeza phindu pofika 2030?
• Kusintha koyang'anira - Kodi malamulo atsopano achinsinsi kapena mitengo ya kaboni ingakhudze bwanji zosankha zathu pazaka 5 zikubwerazi?
• Kusokonekera kwamakampani - Nanga bwanji ngati omwe akupikisana nawo otsika mtengo kapena matekinoloje olowa m'malo awononga kwambiri msika m'zaka zisanu?

#2.Ganizirani zochitika

Muyenera kunyalanyaza zomwe zimachitika m'madipatimenti / ntchito zonse, ndi momwe zingakhudzire ntchito, zachuma, HR, ndi zina zotero.

Unikani mwayi ndi zovuta zomwe zimachitika pabizinesi iliyonse. Ndi njira ziti zomwe zingachepetse zoopsa kapena kukulitsa mwayi?

Dziwani zisankho muzochitika zilizonse pamene pangafunike kukonza maphunziro. Ndi zizindikiro ziti zomwe zingasonyeze kusuntha kupita ku njira ina?

Zithunzi za mapu motsutsana ndi zisonyezo zazikulu za kagwiridwe ntchito kuti mumvetsetse momwe ndalama ndi magwiridwe antchito zimakhudzira momwe zingathere.

Ganizirani momwe mungasankhire motsatana komanso zotsatira zake muzochitika. Kodi zovuta izi zitha kusinthika bwanji kudzera mubizinesi pakapita nthawi?

Chitani kuyesa kupanikizika ndi kusanthula chidwi kuyesa kusatetezeka kwa zochitika. Ndi zinthu ziti zamkati/zakunja zomwe zingasinthe kwambiri mawonekedwe?

Kambiranani za kuthekera kwa chochitika chilichonse kutengera zomwe mukudziwa pano. Ndi ziti zomwe zikuwoneka ngati zochulukirapo kapena zochepa?

Lembani zowunikira zonse ndi zotsatira zake kuti mupange kumvetsetsa kogawana kwa opanga zisankho.

💡 Zitsanzo zowunikira zochitika:

Chitsanzo 1: Kufuna kukuchulukirachulukira chifukwa cha omwe akulowa msika

• Zopeza pagawo lililonse/gawo lamakasitomala
• Zofunikira zowonjezera zopanga / kukwaniritsa
• Zofunikira zogwirira ntchito
• Kudalirika kwa unyolo
• Kulemba zofunika pa ntchito
• Chiwopsezo cha kuchulukitsa / kuchulukitsa

Nkhani 2: Mtengo wa zinthu zofunika kwambiri ukuwonjezeka pazaka ziwiri

• Kukwera kwamitengo kotheka pamzere wazinthu
• Kugwiritsa ntchito njira zochepetsera mtengo
• Zowopsa zosunga makasitomala
• Supply chain diversification options
• Zofunikira za R&D kuti mupeze zolowa m'malo
• Liquidity/ndalama njira

Nkhani 3: Kusokonekera kwamakampani chifukwa chaukadaulo watsopano

• Zokhudza katundu/ntchito zantchito
• Zofunikira zaukadaulo / ndalama zamatalente
• Njira zothetsera mpikisano
• Zatsopano zachitsanzo zamitengo
• Zosankha za mgwirizano / M&A kuti mupeze luso
• Zowopsa za Patent / IP chifukwa chakusokonekera

#3. Sankhani zizindikiro zotsogola

Zizindikiro zotsogola ndi ma metric omwe amatha kuwonetsa ngati zochitika zitha kuchitika kale kuposa momwe amayembekezera.

Muyenera kusankha zisonyezo zomwe zimasintha modalirika zotsatira zake zisanawonekere.

Ganizirani zonse zamkati monga zoneneratu zamalonda komanso deta yakunja monga malipoti azachuma.

Khazikitsani malire kapena milingo yazizindikiro zomwe zingayambitse kuwunika kowonjezereka.

Perekani kuyankha kuti muyang'ane nthawi zonse zizindikiro za zizindikiro motsutsana ndi zomwe zikuchitika.

Dziwani nthawi yoyenera yotsogolera pakati pa chizindikiro cha chizindikiro ndi zomwe zikuyembekezeredwa.

Pangani njira zowunikira zizindikiro pamodzi kuti zitsimikizire zochitika. Ma metrics amodzi sangakhale omaliza.

Chitani zoyeserera zowunikira kuti musinthe zomwe zimapereka zidziwitso zochenjeza, ndikuwongolera chikhumbo cha chenjezo loyambirira ndi mitengo ya "alamu yabodza" kuchokera pazizindikiro.

💡Zitsanzo zotsogola:

• Zizindikiro za Economic - Kukula kwa GDP, kuchuluka kwa kusowa kwa ntchito, kukwera kwa mitengo, chiwongola dzanja, kuyambika kwa nyumba, zotulutsa
• Zomwe zikuchitika m'mafakitale - Kusintha kwa magawo amsika, kutengera kwazinthu zatsopano, mitengo yolowera/zinthu, kafukufuku wamakasitomala
• Mayendedwe ampikisano - Kulowa kwa omwe akupikisana nawo atsopano, kuphatikiza / kupeza, kusintha kwamitengo, kampeni yotsatsa
• Kuwongolera/ndondomeko - Kupita patsogolo kwa malamulo atsopano, malingaliro owongolera/kusintha, ndondomeko zamalonda

#4. Konzani njira zoyankhira

Ganizirani zomwe mukufuna kukwaniritsa muzochitika zilizonse zamtsogolo potengera kusanthula kwazomwe zikuchitika.

Ganizirani zosankha zingapo zomwe mungachite ngati kukula m'malo atsopano, kuchepetsa mtengo, kuyanjana ndi ena, kuyambitsa zatsopano ndi zina.

Sankhani njira zothandiza kwambiri ndikuwona momwe zikugwirizanirana ndi zochitika zamtsogolo.

Pangani mapulani atsatanetsatane a mayankho anu apamwamba a 3-5 pakanthawi kochepa komanso kwanthawi yayitali pazochitika zilizonse. Phatikizaninso zosankha zosunga zobwezeretsera ngati zochitika sizikuyenda monga momwe mukuyembekezerera.

Sankhani ndendende zizindikiro zomwe zingakuuzeni kuti ndi nthawi yoti mugwiritse ntchito yankho lililonse. Yerekezerani ngati mayankhowo angakhale oyenera pazachuma pazochitika zilizonse zamtsogolo ndikuwona kuti muli ndi zomwe mukufunikira kuti muthe kuyankha bwino.

💡Zitsanzo za njira zoyankhira:

Zochitika: Kugwa kwachuma kumachepetsa kufunika

• Chepetsani ndalama zosinthika pochotsa ntchito kwakanthawi komanso kugwiritsa ntchito mwanzeru
• Sinthani zokwezera kukhala zowonjezeredwa kuti musunge malire
• Kambiranani zolipira ndi ogulitsa kuti musinthe zinthu
• Ogwira ntchito zodutsa masitima apamtunda kuti azithandizira zosinthika pamagawo abizinesi

Zochitika: Zaukadaulo zosokoneza zimapeza msika mwachangu

• Pezani oyambira omwe akubwera omwe ali ndi luso lowonjezera
• Yambitsani pulogalamu ya incubator yamkati kuti mupange njira zosokoneza
• Kuperekanso capex kukupanga digito ndi nsanja
• Tsatirani mitundu yatsopano yamgwirizano kuti muwonjezere ntchito zothandizidwa ndiukadaulo

Chitsanzo: Wopikisana naye akulowa mumsika wokhala ndi mtengo wotsika

• Konzaninso njira zogulitsira kuti zikhale madera otsika mtengo
• Gwiritsani ntchito pulogalamu yowonjezera yowonjezera
• Magawo amsika a niche omwe ali ndi malingaliro ofunikira
• Zopereka zamakasitomala zomata sizimakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi mtengo

#5. Limbikitsani dongosolo

Kuti mugwiritse ntchito bwino njira zoyankhira zomwe zapangidwa, yambani ndikulongosola zowerengera komanso nthawi yochitira chilichonse.

Tetezani bajeti / zothandizira ndikuchotsa zopinga zilizonse pakukhazikitsa.

Pangani playbooks kuti musankhe mwangozi zomwe zimafunikira kuchitapo kanthu mwachangu.

Khazikitsani kalondolondo wa magwiridwe antchito kuti muwunikire momwe mayankho akuyendera komanso ma KPI.

Kupanga luso polemba anthu, kuphunzitsa ndi kusintha kamangidwe ka bungwe.

Lumikizanani zotsatira za zochitika ndi mayankho ogwirizana nawo pazantchito zonse.

Kuwonetsetsa kuti nthawi zonse kuwunika kokwanira ndikuwunikanso njira zoyankhira pomwe mukulemba zomwe mwaphunzira ndi chidziwitso chomwe mwapeza kudzera muzokumana nazo pakuyankhira.

💡Zitsanzo zokonzekera zochitika:

• Kampani yaukadaulo idakhazikitsa chofungatira chamkati (bajeti yoperekedwa, atsogoleri operekedwa) kuti apange mayankho ogwirizana ndi zomwe zingasokoneze. Zoyambira zitatu zidayesedwa m'miyezi 6.
• Oyang'anira sitolo ophunzitsidwa bwino pakukonzekera anthu ogwira ntchito mwadzidzidzi kuti achepetse / kuwonjezera antchito ngati zofuna zitasintha monga momwe chuma chikuyendera. Izi zidayesedwa potengera zoyeserera zingapo zomwe zimafuna.
• Opanga mafakitale amaphatikiza kuwunika kwa ndalama zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito mwezi uliwonse. Mabajeti a ma projekiti omwe akukonzekera adasankhidwa molingana ndi nthawi ndi zomwe zidayambitsa.

Zitengera Zapadera

Ngakhale kuti tsogolo silidziwika bwino, kukonza zochitika kumathandiza mabungwe kuti azitha kuyang'ana mosiyanasiyana zomwe zingatheke.

Popanga nkhani zosiyanasiyana koma zosagwirizana za momwe madalaivala akunja angayendere, ndikuzindikira mayankho kuti achite bwino pamtundu uliwonse, makampani amatha kuwongolera zomwe akupita m'malo movutitsidwa ndi zolakwika zosadziwika.

Mafunso Ofunsidwa Kawirikawiri

Kodi masitepe 5 otani pakukonzekera zochitika?

Masitepe asanu akukonzekera zochitika ndi 5. Ganizirani zamtsogolo - 1.

Unikani zochitika - 3. Sankhani zizindikiro zotsogola - 4. Kupanga njira zoyankhira - 5. Kukwaniritsa dongosolo.

Kodi chitsanzo cha kukonzekera zochitika ndi chiyani?

Chitsanzo chakukonzekera zochitika: M'magulu aboma, mabungwe ngati CDC, FEMA, ndi WHO amagwiritsa ntchito zochitika pokonzekera mayankho ku miliri, masoka achilengedwe, ziwopsezo zachitetezo ndi zovuta zina.

Mitundu 3 ya zochitika ndi ziti?

Mitundu itatu ikuluikulu ya zochitika ndizofufuza, zokhazikika komanso zolosera.